Megyn Kelly, in a recent episode of her show, discussed with political analyst Mark Halperin a potentially seismic shift in the Republican electorate. The white working class—a core component of Donald Trump's base—may be slipping away from the former president, a development that could have serious ramifications for the GOP in upcoming primaries.
Halperin, host of "Next Up," argued that Trump's grip on this crucial demographic is weakening, which could lead to electoral losses for Republicans in both the Senate and House this November. The conversation centered on how this erosion might affect primary races and the broader party landscape.
While the discussion did not offer a definitive prediction, it underscored the fragility of Trump's political coalition and the potential for internal party conflict as the GOP navigates a post-Trump era—or a continued Trump influence. The white working class has long been a bellwether for Republican fortunes, and any sign of defection is being closely watched by strategists on both sides of the aisle.
"If Trump loses the white working class, the GOP faces a very tough road ahead," Halperin noted, though he stopped short of declaring the movement dead.
The segment highlighted the challenge facing Republicans who have tied their fortunes to Trump's base, even as some in the party seek to broaden their appeal. With primaries looming, the question of whether Trump can hold this key group—or whether a new coalition must emerge—has become a central drama of the 2026 election cycle.