First Minister Eluned Morgan has admitted she could lose her "knife edge" seat in the Welsh Senedd election, as her party trails in third place in recent opinion polls. In a social media video, Morgan used canned cocktails to illustrate the voting system and urged voters to back Labour.
The video, released on Thursday, features Morgan explaining that Plaid Cymru is expected to win "at least two seats, maybe even a third" in her constituency of Ceredigion Penfro. She claims the "real battle" is between Reform, the Conservatives, and Labour for the remaining seats. Each constituency in Wales elects six members under a new proportional system.
Recent polls suggest Labour could lose control of the Welsh government for the first time since devolution in 1999, with some projections indicating Morgan herself might lose her seat. In the video, she holds a pink strawberry daiquiri can to represent Labour, while other parties are represented by mojito (Plaid Cymru), raspberry daiquiri (Conservatives), espresso martini (Reform), pina colada (Greens), and Irn-Bru vodka martini (Lib Dems).
Morgan says a recent poll shows her winning one seat, but warns: "It won't necessarily stay that way unless you come out and vote Labour." She adds that the "real danger is that if you don't come out, you don't support Labour, you're going to get another Reform person."
A caption for the clip describes the seat as "on a knife edge" between Labour, Reform, and the Tories.
The new Senedd will expand from 60 to 96 members, with six elected in each of the 16 new constituencies. The election is expected to be highly competitive.
Political rivals have seized on Morgan's admissions. A Plaid Cymru spokesperson said: "Even Labour's own leader in Wales has now acknowledged the reality on the ground. Labour are on their way out. This is the scale of the choice facing Wales: a hopeful, ambitious future under Plaid Cymru, or more chaos and decline under Reform UK."
A Welsh Conservative spokesperson said: "The people of Wales have had enough after 27 years of Labour and Plaid's failed policies. Only the Welsh Conservatives offer a credible plan that will fix our NHS, improve standards in our schools, and fire up our economy."
A Reform UK spokesperson added: "The only way to stop another Labour and Plaid coalition, and get real change for Wales, is to vote Reform."
Full candidate lists for Ceredigion Penfro are available on the BBC News website.